Magna Financial Market Report – Wednesday 21st May 2025

21 May 2025

 

MARKET REPORT

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Safe havens rally on Israel – Iran tensions

BoE cut bets ease on strong inflation

RECAP

The Australian dollar was the weakest performer of the day, with the GBPAUD rising by 1% by the close, following a more dovish-than-anticipated Reserve Bank of Australia meeting earlier in the session.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar remained under pressure as 30-year Treasury yields made another push toward the 5% mark in the afternoon. In Canada, lower-than-expected CPI figures prompted markets to scale back expectations for interest rate increases this year.

SUMMARY

U.S. equity futures and the dollar are trading lower this morning following reports from CNN that Israel is preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities. As expected, oil prices have moved higher, while safe-haven assets such as the Japanese yen, Swiss Franc, Euro, and gold are seeing increased demand. Additionally, 30-year U.S. Treasury yields have risen above the 5% level once again amid ongoing concerns over U.S. debt and fiscal deficits.

In the UK, stronger-than-expected inflation data has led markets to scale back expectations for rate cuts by the Bank of England. One rate cut is now fully priced in, with markets assigning a 50% probability to a second cut later this year. In response, GBPUSD reached a fresh three-year high.

While no major economic data releases are scheduled for today, attention will turn to the G7 finance ministers and central bankers two-day meeting in Canada. Markets will be closely watching for any remarks on foreign exchange policy, which could introduce further downside risk to the U.S. dollar.

HOW WE CAN HELP

Our team of currency experts are here to help you get more from your money when making international payments. We will work with you to understand your payment needs and offer specialised guidance on the best options available to you. Get in touch with Osman Hanif today on +44 (0) 20 3371 9200 or email osman@magnafinancial.com

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